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Commodity
06-Jul-20261 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

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  • Bullions counter may trade on mixed  path as gold was steady near a two-week high on Monday after a ‌softer-than-expected U.S. jobs report last week tempered expectations of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
RECOMM
MORNING RECOMMENDATION

BULLIONS

  • Bullions counter may trade on mixed  path as gold was steady near a two-week high on Monday after a ‌softer-than-expected U.S. jobs report last week tempered expectations of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
  • Gold (Aug) can move in range of 146500-148000 while silver (Sep) can move in range of 234000-240000.
  • Bullion logged a weekly gain of more than 2% last week, snapping a four-week losing streak, after softer-than-expected U.S. payrolls data eased worries about persistent inflation and prolonged high interest rates.
  • Data on Thursday showed U.S. job growth slowed sharply in June and payroll gains for the prior two months were revised lower, pointing to ‌a ⁠cooling labour market and prompting financial markets to dial back expectations for a near-term Fed rate hike.

BASE METALS

  • In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on volatile path as it can move in range of 1280-1295.  The global copper market to run a surplus of 490,000 tonnes this year, up from its prior estimate of 380,000 tonnes, after cutting its global refined copper demand growth forecast to 1.6% year-on-year from 2%.
  • Aluminum prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 327-336.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil may trade sideways as it can move in range of 6500-6700. Global crude oil prices moved lower on Monday as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, finalized an agreement to boost supply. Starting in August, the group plans to increase output targets, aiming to normalize supply levels as global demand patterns evolve. This move toward higher production is also being influenced by recovering exports from major producers operating through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • OPEC+ members have announced plans to boost oil production as energy markets show tentative signs of recovery amid the fallout of the US-Israel war on Iran.
  • Natural gas may trade on lower path as it can move in range of 298-310.

 

 

 

 

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