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Commodity
09-Jul-20261 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

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  • Bullions counter may trade on lower path as gold fell on Thursday, hovering near a one-week low set in ‌the previous session, as renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities lifted oil prices and reignited concerns about inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates.
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COMMODITY DAILY MARKET NEWS AND OUTLOOK

BULLIONS

  • Bullions counter may trade on lower path as gold fell on Thursday, hovering near a one-week low set in ‌the previous session, as renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities lifted oil prices and reignited concerns about inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates.
  • Gold (Aug) can move in range of 142500-145000 while silver (Sep) can move in range of 220000-226000.
  • The U.S. military said on Wednesday it launched ⁠fresh strikes on Iran to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to shipping, triggering Iranian attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain in the latest escalation to derail efforts to end the war.
  • Markets are pricing a 68% chance of an interest rate hike in September, and see an 87% chance of an increase in January 2027, the CME Fed Watch tool showed.

BASE METALS

  • In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on volatile path as it can move in range of 1260-1275.  Copper is likely to remain driven by broader macro sentiment, while aluminum could continue to outperform if geopolitical tensions raise concerns over further supply disruptions
  • BHP has stated that growing copper production will deliver higher dividend returns to shareholders, with a target of allocating at least 50% of annual cash flow to dividends, and frequently using excess cash for additional dividend payouts and share buybacks.
  • Aluminum prices can trade on upside path as it may move in range of 335-342.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil may trade positive note as it can move in range of 7000-7300. Oil prices rose more than a dollar a barrel in post-settlement trade on Wednesday after the U.S. military began launching fresh strikes on Iran.
  • Both crude benchmarks had settled at their ‌highest in over two weeks after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened fresh strikes against Iran as soon as Wednesday night. Trump also said that an interim deal to ​end the Iran war was “over”, but then ruled out full-fledged war.
  • The U.S. military’s Central Command announced on Wednesday it was launching fresh strikes on Iran aimed at keeping the Strait of Hormuz open to traffic.
  • Natural gas may trade on mixed path as it can move in range of 305-312.

 

 

 

 

 

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