India’s fiscal deficit reaches 29.4% of FY25 target in April-September- Daily Market Update 31 Oct 2024 – Globe Capital Market LTD.
31-Oct-2024
India’s fiscal deficit reaches 29.4% of FY25 target in April-September- Daily Market Update 31 Oct 2024

The Union government's fiscal deficit expanded to 29.4% of the budgetary target at the end of the first six months for the financial year ending March 2025. The gap between expenditure and revenue during April-September stood at Rs 4.75 lakh crore of the total limit set at Rs 16.85 lakh crore for the ongoing fiscal, according to provisional data released on Wednesday by the Controller General of accounts. The Union government had set a fiscal deficit target of 4.9% of GDP for the financial year ending March 2025, as it aims to continue on its fiscal consolidation path. This is after bettering its deficit target for the last fiscal to 5.6% of GDP.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets settled on a negative note.
  • European equity markets settled lower in range 0.5% to 1%.
  • Asian Equity markets are trading lower.
  • GIFT Nifty is down by 50 points, Nifty futures likely to open around 24270 levels (as on 8:20 AM).

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Markets in Asia–Pacific declined in Thursday morning, tracking overnight losses on the Wall Street. Market participants are awaiting the outcome of the Bank of Japan’s policy decision, due later today.
  • Stocks declined on Wall Street after data showed that US economy expanded at a robust pace, which propelled the traders to trim their bets on rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve. Further, technology companies’ stock weighed on US stock after disappointing numbers from mega companies.
  • The brent crude was trading 0.48% higher at $72.90 a barrel.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • Biocon Q2 FY25 (Consolidated, YoY) Revenue up 3.69% at Rs 3590 crore versus Rs 3462 crore. Ebitda down 7.54% at Rs 686 crore versus Rs 742 crore. Ebitda margin down 232 bps at 19.1% versus 21.43%. Net profit down 84.3% at Rs 27 crore versus Rs 172 crore .
  • Larsen & Toubro Q2 FY25 (Consolidated, YoY) Revenue up 20.63% at Rs 61554 crore versus Rs 51024 crore. Ebitda up 12.94% at Rs 6362 crore versus Rs 5633 crore. Ebitda margin down 70 bps at 10.33% versus 11.03% . Net profit up 6.69% at Rs 4113 crore versus Rs 3855 crore.
  • Tata Power Q2 FY25 (Consolidated, YoY) Revenue down 0.26% at Rs 15698 crore versus Rs 15738 crore. Ebitda up 21.19% at Rs 3746 crore versus Rs 3091 crore. Ebitda margin up 422 bps at 23.86% versus 19.64%. Net profit up 7.47% at Rs 1093 crore versus Rs 1017 crore.
  • Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd has received letter of acceptance worth Rs 284 crore for construction work from east coast railway.
  • Adani Green’s unit has entered into power purchase agreements with Maharashtra State Electricity Distribution Co. for supply of 5 GW solar power.
  • Ujjivan Small Finance Bank: S Balakrishna Kamath to take charge as chief financial officer of the bank effective Dec. 5.
  • Sonata Software has signed pact with a Fortune 50 American multinational technology conglomerate for global retail operations.
  • Tata Power filed insurance claim worth Rs 221 crore for damages incurred due to dire incident in September and received Rs 50 crore advance, final settlement to be determined on completion of assessment.
  • Jupiter Wagons’s arm Jupiter Electric Mobility acquired Log9’s Railway and electric truck battery divisions.

Nifty Overview & Outlook

Benchmark Nifty index settled lower at 24341 levels after a cut of 126 points from its previous closing values.
Broader markets outperformed the benchmark as Small cap index gained over 1% and Mid cap index settled on a flat note against 0.5% declines in the benchmark.

Majority of sectoral indices, tracked at NSE, ended in red. Amongst them, Financial Services, Pharma and Capital Goods stocks were the laggards with more than 1% declines each. On the other hand, Media and FMCG stocks led the advance, gained 2.34% & 0.92% respectively.

Technically, Nifty index is hovering in a range for past couple of sessions as predicted in our previous posts. Going ahead, we expect it to trade in the similar fashion till it is trading in 24050-24500 range. Either side break from this range will open the doors for next directional move in that direction.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, Banknifty and Finnifty futures shed 21%, and 23% of open interest respectively as long unwinding whereas some short buildup was seen in Midcapnifty with increase in open interest by 3% and no significant change was seen in Nifty futures on open interest front.

Banknifty futures rolled 69% of open interest into next contracts which was slightly higher than the previous month rollovers of 67%.

On options front, call writing along with some put writing was seen at multiple strikes. Maximum put positions are at 24000 PE followed by 24300 PE and maximum call positions are at 25000 CE followed by 24500 CE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 4614 Cr in the cash segment, sold stocks futures worth Rs 1755 Cr also sold index futures worth Rs 1465 Cr. On the other hand, DIIs were net buyers in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 4518 Cr

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 24520-24600; Supports 24480-24200

Banknifty – Resistances 52000-52200; Supports 51600-51350

Finnifty – Resistances 24300- 24400; Supports 24120-24020

 

Security in Ban Today:  IDFCFIRSTB, INDIAMART, PNB, RBLBANK.

 

Important Results Today : NH, SUDARSHAN, BFUTILITIE, TATAINVEST.

Disclosure

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